With an abundance of playmakers on the field, Super Bowl 58 should see plenty of points scored. What better way to enjoy the fireworks than by cashing in some juicy plus-mone touchdown scorer bets? Read on to see which players I’m backing to find paydirt.
I’m still bitter that Detroit’s Anthony Firkser didn’t score last week despite a chance he gave me on a platter. I still have Isiah Pacheco forged more money, but with one last game, I’m adopting the same technique as last week. to break down the Super Bowl odds. Three grades of airplane circuit breakers: sideburns, mids, and long shots.
For the latest edition of the season’s TD hitters with 4,395 drives, my NFL gets a pair of KC pass catchers and gets artsy with the NFL odds on Christain McCaffrey as the likely top TD scorer.
Here are my top picks for 3-TD Super Bowl accessories.
Elections held on February 3 at 16h00. ET. Read the full research of your choice.
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No one here is betting on Christian McCaffrey’s TD at any point at its current value of -250ish, but it may be a credit to bring the running back to locate the finish zone in the first 30 minutes of the game at a maximum value. out of 130 available at DraftKings.
The flexible guard of the San Francisco 49ers has 25 landings in total this year, adding 16 in the first part of the year. He played in 18 games and scored in 15 of them. In the 15 games he scored, he scored a first-half touchdown in thirteen of them.
Looking at the percentages, he has scored a 1H TD in 72% of the games he’s played and a 1H TD in 87% of the games he’s scored in.
Many of the starting scores are similar to how well the 49ers are on scheduled plays and in early practice. As of last week, they had the most productive TD percentage in the first practices of the remaining 4 groups at 55% on the season and only had 150 to score in the first practice. He scored in five playoff games with the Niners and landed in the first half in three of those games.
The Kansas City Chiefs are one of the weakest defenses in the 2023 NFL playoffs.
Christian McCaffrey’s proposition: First half TD (140 for DraftKings)
There are not a lot of darkhorse TD plays in this game as both offenses have a tight trust circle of offensive players which is why guys like Deebo Samuel, Brandon Aiyuk, George Kittle, and Rashee Rice are priced from +140 to +175.
Of this group, I’m Rice’s with 140. La 49ers line is splitting away, yet Rice is still the second passing choice for an offense that has the second-highest rate of good fortune in football.
THE BLITZ projects a better-than-expected performance from the KC receiver with 85 receiving yards with a total reception of 69. 5 yards. He’s had a reliable goal since week nine and has improved his goals from the game to 4. 05 since halftime. and is averaging 6. 7 receptions, 78. 3 yards and 0. 4 TDs consistent with the game since Week 10.
Travis Kelce will get a lot of attention next Sunday and Patrick Mahomes can easily turn to his secondary picks, just as he did in last year’s Super Bowl, where Kadarius Toney and Skyy Morre scored.
It’s not a huge number, though, Rice with 140 is the most productive mid-range TD in this game from my point of view. This is the same end value as Buffalo’s game, which was played in worse passing conditions. The inner frame only increases the volume and power of the passes, which benefits Rice’s touchdown chances.
Rashee Rice’s Proposition: Hit Anytime ( 140 at bet365)
Last week, I was missing a meter and higher resolution to make money on a TD of 1,900, which never happens when betting on TDs. That’s the value punters will find in the market.
For the final longshot of the season, I’m looking for odds of +500 or better and because of that small trust circle from both offenses, there aren’t a ton of choices.
I’m well aware that Kyle Juszczyk with a score of 1200 (at bet365) will be a popular pick, but KC tight end Noah Gray with 900 (FanDuel) is my shot to the moon.
Pinnacle is pricing this at +594 which is always a good indicator of where the market is heading which means the +900 is a solid price.
Gray has just two TDs on the year and is nothing I’d want to put even more than a quarter unit on, but he did have one red-zone target vs. the Ravens last week and opportunities are the most important thing when taking these long-odd TDs.
It’s possible that the Chiefs will also effectively face the 49ers, who have been abysmal at giving up the lead in the race and Green Bay and Detroit have exploited this game. That may lead to the Chiefs executing heavier sets, which would keep Gray on the court. .
The Chiefs use two TEs on 40% of their first plays, which is one of the highest rates in football. It will probably have to be a game pass from a heavy team near the goal line, but the closer it is to the goal area, the greater its chances will be. He has a 34-yard touchdown and a two-yard touchdown, so there’s some variety in his potential touchdown scenario.
Noah Gray Accessory: Anytime Landing (900 to FanDuel for 0. 25u)
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