Bud’s Bets is my column about school play.
I had a few years, 55% opposed spread in 2019 with a 5. 1% reversal of investment.
My strategy was simple: make my own numbers using a combination of public and personal powers, as well as my own manual changes based on staff, injuries and game knowledge.
With my numbers set, the next step is to be able to shoot on Sunday when the numbers come out on Sunday or Monday. In front of professionals who need to bet tens of thousands according to the game is a credit because I go home before the massive money comes in and moves the line. The lines tend to be sharp at the end of the week and the maximum of my bets are placed at the beginning of the week.
Of course, if you check to bet thousands of dollars on the game, the low limits (usually 250 to 500 maximum bets consistent with the game) at the beginning of the week can be an obstacle, but I guess the maximum of my readers plays. $100 consistent with the game or less.
In 2020, there is great uncertainty with my strategy and all CFB betting. What may have been a smart bet on Sunday or Monday can suddenly be a terrible bet on a Thursday if key players are excluded due to a positive touch search test. It is true that the threat is equivalent on both sides of a match, but it is still not a comfortable feeling. I have no idea how I’m going to do it this year.
William Hill Casino is a reliable position for the odds.
Strategic thinking in an uncertain time
I’m betting fewer games this season. To counteract this volume loss, I will place more bets on the moment side and live betting. I post them in the comments and keep them in a separate recording because I am interested to see the difference between the previous bets and the game. .
It is also valuable to look conscientiously at the margins of choice. Although this is a very dangerous bet due to the build-up of vigour, they may not arrive early this season. In fact, during Week 1, the Las Vegas lines were incredibly staggered. Only 3 games were a landing away and only two were a landing/under The value of the lines of choice is based on a popular distribution of the most likely effects based on a line. But if the lines are questionable due to lack of data due to the pandemic, and the variance is greater, the threat is potentially less and the praise higher.
Any questions?
I’ll answer all game-like questions in the comments segment of the week. Tirez. Je will talk about games weekly in Bud’s Bets commentary segment.
Season record
Preview: 12-9 (57%) ATS, $213, 9% KING
In-game/live: 7-6 ATS, $30, 2. 1% investment
The fourth week was unprofitable, if I looked at how the losses occurred, I would repeat the maximum of them.
I played some live replays at a time when the groups were moving the ball freely but didn’t finish the records (Kentucky-Auburn, UCF-ECU) and neither of them could do it, even if either of them were on a scoreboard. play again.
I also played AT NC State when Virginia Tech’s understudy quarterback Braxton Burmeister fell, leaving the Hokies with a third player.
Paris week 5
I’ve played several and I’ll be adding more this week.
Louisiana Tech 24 (-105) at BYU. I accept as true with the Bulldog defense that that score is kept a little diminished and in the number.
Virginia 28. 5 in Clemson. The Hoos are betting at a slower speed and lead clemson, without allowing quick scores.
Troy -5 in southern Alabama. Southern Alabama is on the scrum line.
Virginia Tech -11 (-115) on Duke Duke just doesn’t seem to be to put it in combination and the stories of
North Carolina -11 in Boston College. La defense of Boston College is suspicious and North Carolina is expected to be new within a few weeks.
Baylor -2. 5 in West Virginia, I accept as true with Baylor beating West Virginia and I think he deserves to be above a basket.
UTSA at UAB -17. UAB with QB Bryson Lucero has an explosive detail with which UTSA will not be able to hold.
Charlotte 10 (-115) at FAU. This is the first game for a new coach and I don’t take advantage of FAU to win double digits in this situation.
Ole Miss 6. 5 in Kentucky. Je accepts ole Miss’s attack to score and hang out with the Wildcats.
Auburn 8 in Géorgie. La Georgia’s defense is amazing, but will it score to leave Auburn out?
Oklahoma State -21. 5 in Kansas. The Jayhawks are horrible. OSU is the defense THAT KU has ever seen.
Many asked for my selections for their school’s variety groups. I merge into Office Football Pools, which was the most requested site by readers. I only show my possible options in games where my numbers show a price relative to the margin provided. . If I don’t list a game it’s to say I don’t have an opinion on it, so throw a coin. This record won’t go on and those aren’t games I bet on. These are meant to help those who want to fill their pools and don’t have much time to do so in a given week.
Coming soon on Thursday.
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