After a thrilling Conference Championship weekend, the matchup for Super Bowl 58 is set. The AFC champion Kansas City Chiefs will take on the NFC champion San Francisco 49ers with the Lombardi Trophy on the line.
The Super Bowl is familiar territory for two-time Super Bowl MVP Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs, who won the Big Game last year and are making their fourth appearance in five years. That includes a victory over these 49ers in Super Bowl LIV back in 2020, when Kansas City erased a 10-point fourth-quarter deficit and emerged with a 31-20 victory.
Despite their recent good fortune in the Big Game, the Chiefs are favorites in Sunday’s Super Bowl. They come into the game as slightly underdogs on the money line and in the distribution, as many believe San Francisco has the more sensible team.
Whether you agree with punters or not, there are many tactics for betting on the Big Game. You can test your wisdom beyond Super Bowl knowledge and trends, or you can just stick to your gut and bet on the team or players you think will do well.
You can even spice up your bets with fun Super Bowl bets, such as bets on the toss or the color of the Gatorade. You can’t bet on everything (the national anthem, halftime show, and ads are banned), but you can be artistic and place bets on the same game if multiple bets catch your eye.
With the proliferation of online sites, it’s never been less difficult to make gambling more interesting. Even more than the Super Bowl with your friends or co-workers, the merit of the Big Game is that there’s a bet for just about everyone. .
There’s also a promotion for everyone, as sportsbooks have special Super Bowl promos leading up to the Big Game for new and existing customers. This is a great time to score some bonus bets and place what are essentially free wagers on the Super Bowl with site credit.
There are a lot of things to do before the start of the match, so here is an advisor who will help you with your bets.
Most people pick a side for the Super Bowl, even if they ordinarily have no rooting interest in either participant. Even if it’s possible to sit through a regular season tilt emotionally unattached to its outcome, few of us are spending Super Sunday feeling completely neutral.
There is a lot at stake and interest in the game, so you will most likely decide on one aspect for one reason or another. Maybe you just help the underdog.
If you are mostly only interested in the final results of the game, a Moneyline bet may be placed for you. You bet on which team will win, and the winning underdog will pay more than the winning favorite.
In Super Bowl 58, most bookmakers have the San Francisco 49ers as moneyline favorites against the Kansas City Chiefs at odds of -130. This means that if the 49ers win, a bettor who bets $130 on San Francisco will win $100.
The Chiefs are indexed as slightly underdog at 110, so a bettor who sides with KC with a $100 bet has any and all chances of winning $110.
The moneyline is the simplest bet in the game.
If you like the favorite but need a slightly higher payout, bet against the spread.
Most books have San Francisco as a 1. 5 or 2 point favorite with odds of -110 in Super Bowl 58, so betting on the 49ers they want to win by at least 3 numbers to “cover the gap. “
The easiest way to determine whether a wager on a team that’s “getting points” is a winner is to simply add the point spread figure to the number of points that team has scored in a game and compare it to the point total of the other side.
For instance, as 1.5-point underdogs in last year’s Super Bowl, the Chiefs would have covered the spread even if they were on the losing side of a 28-27 score.
However, the Chiefs beat the Eagles, so additional calculations were not necessary.
Historically, the favorites in Super Bowl betting have a margin of 37-20 and 28-27-2.
Some bettors like to bet the totals, also known as Over/Under. These are smart bets for other people who are new to sports betting or don’t need to worry too much about which team wins.
The game is simple: the two groups will mix to score more or less points than the set total, with odds of -110 on both sides of the bet, which includes the bookmaker’s vig.
The Chiefs and Eagles scored a combined 73 points in Super Bowl 57. Over/Under 51. 5, so someone who bet on More won their bet while someone who bet on Less didn’t withdraw their money.
With the Over hitting in the 2023 Super Bowl, the game’s all-time record for Overs versus Unders is now even at 28-28 (there was not an Over/Under set for Super Bowl 1).
The Over hitting last February broke a four-year streak of Super Bowls finishing below the posted total.
Super Bowl prop bets can be cashed out during the game and are an available and engaging way to follow what’s happening on the field. Side bets also provide the possibility of higher winnings.
An accessory is to bet on which player will get the first landing of the game.
In Super Bowl 57, Eagles quarterback Jalen Hurts was the first to locate the end zone. His chances of scoring the first TD of the game were 600.
This year, the player with the lowest odds is 49ers backup Christian McCaffrey with 350.
If you like long-range shooting, like everyone who bet two years ago that Cincinnati Bengals kicker Evan McPherson would score the first landing with an advertised score of 3,000/1, you might end up ending the game regretting the decision to defy the odds if a miracle happens.
The NFL’s rule that calls for a review of each and every possible play can be ruthless to other people who place bets on the first touchdown.
In last year’s game, Eagles running back Kenneth Gainwell took a handoff and was tackled right at the goal line, with the officials initially ruling the play a Philadelphia touchdown. The call was reversed upon mandatory review, and Hurts scored on the next play, ending a painful sequence for bettors who had Gainwell to find the end zone first at 20/1.
Hurts’ first touchdown in the 2023 Super Bowl also helped those who bet on him scoring a touchdown at any point in the game. You can bet that each and every active offensive player will score a touchdown in the game, and some books will include certain offensive linemen, defensive players, and special group players like Cincinnati’s McPherson.
If you bet $110 that Hurts will score a touchdown anytime at -110, his touchdown gave the Eagles an early lead and helped you scrape together $100 in winnings.
Last year’s game can also be instructive for bettors looking for a big payout on a Super Bowl touchdown. Kansas City linebacker Nick Bolton tied the game with his 36-yard fumble return for a score and helped cash tickets that included an anytime touchdown by a member of the Chiefs defense or special teams units (+600).
Not all bookmakers will list all active players, regardless of their position, however, those who indexed Bolton as a scorer at any time among 7,500 bettors paid $7,500 for a $100 game.
Super Bowl TD defense and special group bets are too far-fetched. There have been defensive or special group landings in 26 of the 57 Super Bowls (45. 6%).
However, for an offensive lineman to score a landing is risky. This has only happened once in Super Bowl history, so it’s more productive to put your money somewhere else.
The number of Super Bowl player props has almost no limit. It can be fun to bet which player will win Super Bowl Most Valuable Player honors.
However, this category is still relatively new for many reputable betting rooms. In the past, Las Vegas Books has avoided betting on outcomes that required a vote.
Unsurprisingly, the safest MVP bet has been on one of the game’s two quarterbacks, given that QBs have won the award 32 of 57 times, last year when Patrick Mahomes won the award for the second time.
Unsurprisingly, Mahomes is the favorite to bounce back this year, even though his team was favored to win.
Still, in the first year, Las Vegas Books took the Super Bowl MVP action, who won the award with Broncos linebacker Von Miller and drew 2,200 tickets. People who earned 550 MVP positions if they chose one of the linebackers in the game.
There are a wide variety of stat-based Super Bowl player props, from those based on the number of passing yards the quarterback will have to those involving the number of yards gained through the team’s talented players.
You can also bet on how many field goals or points after touchdowns each kicker will convert, and you can plop some money down on the number of times each team punts.
The results of the game are attractive. You can bet on either team to get a protection. Given the scarcity of protection (only nine of 57 Super Bowls), it’s a fun game that can make things appealing, as a team is subsidized close to its goal. line.
And if you need to win big on a small bet, try your luck by buying the highest odds of a protection as the game’s first outcome, which is what happened the last time the Super Bowl had one.
When the Seattle Seahawks registered a protection in the Denver Broncos’ first offensive game in Super Bowl 48, other people who bet on Seattle scoring the first points of the game with 4,000 protection cashed in $4,000 winning tickets on a $100 bet.
Bettors of a protection that played out at any point in the game with odds of 550 won $550 in a $100 game.
One bet on the final results of the game that has gained popularity is whether there will be a successful two-point conversion. Since NFL coaches are more willing to go through two points, a successful two-point check will pay some pretty smart value.
Bettors who scored a two-run checkout in Super Bowl 57 had to wait until the game in the fourth quarter, however, Jalen Hurt’s two-point equalizer conversion ensured their bet was cashed at odds of 250.
Not only that, but a more recent betting phenomenon has been known as “an octopus” bet, which has the term used to refer to the times when a two-point conversion is scored through the player who also scored the previous touchdown.
Given that more than 85% of two-point tries are scored by players other than the one who just found the end zone for a touchdown, the odds of an octopus happening in the Super Bowl are long.
Hurts’ double pointer helped him accomplish this feat, as his successful pass came immediately after a two-yard touchdown run. People who believe the Eagles or Chiefs will get an octopus have bet 14/1.
A market even murkier than an octopus is the Super Bowl.
There are a few Super Bowl bets you can make that have little to do with the Super Bowl itself.
Seemingly, many football gamblers love making a wager on the length of the national anthem – and yes, recent history can serve as a gambler’s guide, though there has yet to be much in the way of a definitive trend.
In case you’re wondering, you can’t bet on Super Bowl commercials.
For the more than 16 games, the Super Bowl national anthem has exceeded the time set by the bettor (usually around 2 p. m. ). m. ) 8 times. Meanwhile, the Under sounded seven times and Kelly Clarkson’s rendition of Super Bowl 46 boosted.
Some are skeptical of this gamble, given the number of people who have access to rehearsals and soundchecks and the debate over when the anthem clock is worth starting. Some believe that the clock deserves to be started when the music is playing, others when the singer plays a note.
There’s also the matter of anthem flubs, something Christina Aquilera was guilty of when she messed up the words while singing before Super Bowl 45, creating a controversy that caused some books to pay both sides of the bet.
Chris Stapleton’s rendition of the national anthem before the 2023 Super Bowl is memorable, not because of its length, but because of the shots of Eagles head coach Nick Siranni crying as Stapleton sang.
With the list of available ancillary bets being developed each year, it wouldn’t be unexpected to see one that had a chance of a coach or player being moved to tears upon hearing the national anthem. However, for now, this is a bet that you will most likely find at an offshore sportsbook than a legal one.
More definitive is the Super Bowl draw, a favorite among players who need to start the game with instant action. The draw is as close to 50-50 as you can find in any gambling game.
However, due to the vigor of betting, it is worth placing this bet unless either party has odds of 100.
Over the course of the games, the Tails hold a very slight 30-27 lead, and last year’s result ended the two-game winning streak.
Flipping a coin goes beyond how the coin falls.
You can also bet on which team will win the initial draw, the player who calls “heads” or “heads” will make the correct decision, the team that wins the toss will either take the initial throw or defer until the second half, and the team that wins the toss will end up winning the game.
Another accessory is the Super Bowl Gatorade color that is applied to the winning coach.
After the 2023 Super Bowl, Chiefs head coach Andy Reid was sprayed with purple Gatorade. It was the first time purple had won since New York Giants head coach Tom Coughlan was showered with the color in 2012. Purple was a long shot (850) in 2023, but has the lowest odds in 2024.
Since Super Bowl 35 after the 2000 season, orange has been the most popular color. During that time, no winning coach painted red moments before receiving the Vince Lombardi Trophy.
Sports have low limits for these types of bets.
With the proliferation of sports apps and the states that allow them, live games have gained popularity.
This type of betting allows enthusiasts to take advantage of a trend in the game, react to a sudden and unforeseen development, or get higher odds than existed before the game.
One of the most prominent in-play betting scenarios occurred with the New England Patriots’ historic comeback from a 25-point loss to the Atlanta Falcons in Super Bowl 51.
With the Falcons leading 28-3 midway through the third quarter, the Patriots’ silver odds were 10/1, which was a huge increase in value from what they had before the game. New England entered the league as a three-point favorite.
The odds climbed to 16-1 in the fourth quarter as Atlanta headed into what could have been a decider game with a 28-20 lead. A player who won the cause at the time with $100 from Tom Brady and company to complete his comeback won $1,600.
The Chiefs didn’t pull off as impressive a comeback as New England did in last year’s game, but they still had to triumph over a 24-14 halftime deficit.
Since a wasted first half for Kansas City ended with Patrick Mahomes limping to the locker room, the Chiefs’ financial odds have risen to 280, allowing bettors to be willing to bet on KC’s outright victory despite a drop of 10 points. Payment after his 38 -35 victory.
With all the money wagered on the Super Bowl and the thousands of different bets available, you might wonder how Las Vegas sportsbooks do when it comes to taking action on America’s biggest sporting event.
According to the Nevada Gaming Control Board, Las Vegas Books has won in the last 11 Super Bowls, although ownership percentages vary throughout the year. In fact, Las Vegas has only lost the Big Game twice in more than 30 years.
For last year’s game between the Eagles and Chiefs, Nevada’s 185 sports sites collected $153,183,002 in bets, earning $11,287,594 for a 7. 4% ownership percentage.
While Las Vegas books took well over $150 million in wagers and won at a clip that any individual bettor would be thrilled with, figures were actually down from the previous year.
The game between Cincinnati and Los Angeles grossed $179,823,715, with books earning 8. 6%.
In the last 11 Super Bowls, Las Vegas’ biggest success was the Seattle Seahawks’ victory over the Denver Broncos in 2014. That year, bookmakers had a 16. 5% share percentage, winning $19,673,960 on $119,400,822 in bets.
The 2018 Philly Special between the Philadelphia Eagles and New England Patriots was a tough one for Las Vegas. Sports bettors received $158,586,934 in bets, the second-highest in the last 10 Super Bowls, but won just $1,170,432 for a low holding percentage of 0. 7%. the lowest in the last 11 games.
Probably a few points contributed to the decrease in the numbers of the 2023 Nevada sports Super Bowl compared to last year.
Fewer and fewer punters are relying on Nevada-based bookmakers due to the increasing availability of legal gambling across the country. It’s also probably vital that Super Bowl 57 be the first NFL-named game to be played in a state where online sports betting is legalized (Arizona).
It would be a mistake to bet against an increase in Nevada’s sports numbers for Super Bowl 58. Las Vegas will host America’s biggest sporting event for the first time in February.
The average sports retention percentage over the past 11 Super Bowls has been 8. 1%, with $1,533,657,806 wagered on Nevada alone.
Sports betting holding percentages can vary wildly from year to year. Unsurprisingly, though, as far as the last decade of Super Bowls is concerned, Las Vegas won.
Arguably this easiest Super Bowl bet is the moneyline, which is simply who wins the game.
It’s the easiest in terms of being the most straightforward. You don’t have to worry about the margin of victory, how many points are scored or any individual player’s performance.
However, it’s not necessarily the simplest in terms of chances of winning. Moneyline bets are no less difficult to win than spread, over/under or prop bets. The odds are adjusted according to the type of bet.
Moneyline bets are for new bettors as they are the easiest.
When it comes to out-of-play betting, the flip of a coin is the simplest. However, the final result of the coin toss takes only a few seconds and is an especially way to bet on the big game.
In terms of odds, the easiest Super Bet to win would be the wager with the most significant minus (-) odds. The minus odds indicate a favorite, while plus (+) odds indicate an underdog.
An example of a Super Bowl bet with significant minus odds would be on an elite quarterback to throw at least one touchdown.
The first thing to look for when opting for a sports app for the Big Game is promotional money. Many online sports sites offer Super Bowl promotions to give you more value for your investment.
We’ve got those Super Bowl betting apps:
The apps are available on iOS and Android.
These sportsbooks are available depending on the sports betting state.
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