Spanish league
Míchel’s Girona have taken a step forward in La Liga
After a difficult start to the season, it seems that Girona are starting to locate their feet and start looking upwards again. Continuing his traditionally savvy season in 2023-24 after promoting a plethora of skills was going to be a huge challenge. But after all, Array seems to be starting to work within the parameters of what we can expect.
Girona have won their last two La Liga games and kept a clean sheet in both cases, while at home they remain one of the most powerful groups in the division. Michel’s side have lost just 4 of their last 24 league games at Montilivi, and all of them against European-quality opponents Villarreal, Barcelona, Real Sociedad and Real Madrid.
According to their basic data, Girona is in fifth place in La Liga in xGD at home this season (7. 6), only behind the top three in the department and Real Betis. The Catalan side may not be the dominant force in attacking football in all fields as they were last season, but in front of their own fans they are still a team that consistently creates more chances than they don’t concede.
For its part, Sevilla has won one of its nine trips to La Liga this season (3 draws, five losses), while conceding more than two goals on average (19 conceded in nine games). Their xGD on the road also ranks 13th in the division. This is, at best, an average away team, both in its actual functionality and when we take a look at the underlying metrics.
The security of García Pimienta’s assignment in Seville also continues to be tested. Regardless of what the actual effects say, the current task lacks positive signals for the future, which will weigh on confidence if they can’t figure things out in the short term.
A Girona side who perform well at home should fancy themselves against an opponent who constantly feel one or two games away from a crisis. I’ll take them to win and have the most corners, along with Sevilla seeing more cards.
Just when we all thought it might not happen again, Real Madrid was doing well and actually got demolished in some other Clásico. Their final three-goal loss was bad enough, but without Wojciech Szczęsny’s red card early in the second half, Barcelona looked to be on their way to a victory of epic proportions. Things may have simply been worse.
The good news for Real Madrid is that they may not have to face Barcelona for a while. While Hansi Flick’s team obviously has its numbers in a big way, the team from the capital does not want to worry too much and returns to the daily routine of national football. No one has wanted to give them the nightmares that Flick’s Barcelona have this season, and Sunday’s home game against Las Palmas will see Madrid get back on track.
After a humiliating defeat to their rivals, Real Madrid are still expected to show renewed enthusiasm in La Liga matches. Each will have to take the result of the Super Cup out of their system and return home against a team at the back of La Liga, it is an opportunity for them to vent their frustration against an opponent who has a huge disparity of talent. They will also know that they can do more things than in midweek against Celta de Vigo in the Copa del Rey.
Real Madrid have averaged 2. 7 goals per game in their last 15 home games in La Liga (13 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss), while conceding an average of just 0. 7 per game. Keep in mind that four of the 11 goals conceded in this series came in a single game against Barcelona, and that tells you that against anyone other than their rival, things otherwise went pretty well.
Against a Las Palmas side that have stepped up with Diego Martinez, but whose underlying numbers imply that their effects are unsustainable (3 GD, -5. 7 xGD), I think we will see Ancelotti’s side exerting their strength here. And in terms of value, I’m intrigued that Fede Valverde scores 7/2 at any time.
He has scored in 4 of his last 8 games for Real Madrid, adding a goal against Celta Vigo in midweek. Against defenses in depth, he represents a risk from afar.
Valencia is in the middle of a relegation war, a very serious war. The mere option of a club of its stature having to play second division football in 2025-2026 is even difficult to understand.
They have made a good start to life under new boss Carlos Corberan, following an undeserved home defeat to Real Madrid with a strong performance in Seville last weekend. Had it not been for a mistake by goalkeeper Giorgi Mamardashvili, firing a shot from distance that was already well behind – the Corberan era would have begun.
Sunday’s match against Real Sociedad promises to be a difficult challenge. The visitors precisely surprise others with their football at the moment, but their defensive functionality is quite scary at the moment. Imanol Alguacil’s men have kept a clean sheet in six of their last 8 games in LaLiga.
In fact, what we have in this game is a home team in a pretty desperate situation, who want to start getting wins somewhere, as opposed to one of the stingiest defensive groups in Europe this season (who aren’t scoring much either). to that a lot of nerves at Mestalla on the part of a worried fans and I don’t see that this is a mystery.
Overall, it looks like a game that will be played with very tight margins. If there is going to be a winner, I think it will be through a single goal. But I’ll stick to lack of goals as the main prediction here. .
Since the beginning of the 2021-22 campaign, this adjustment has not managed to set a sufficient trend for the company. In their seven La Liga meetings this period, we only saw 8 goals scored in total, while both teams only scored in one of them.
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