Despite their 3-0 loss to the Bundesliga leaders on Saturday, Bayern Munich remain the valid favourites against Lazio to start the UCL round of 16. Below we detail their odds on our Champions League picks.
Wednesday’s Valentine’s Day encounter between Lazio and Bayern Munich probably won’t be a romantic affair, but it’s shaping up to be the most engaging Champions League match this week. We’re talking about two exciting groups coming together and either securing a spot in the quarterfinals.
We can’t say this is just the first of two games between the groups to seal that spot, but whoever wins on Wednesday will have great merit heading into the second leg.
I’m wary of Moneyline bets with odds of -150 or less, but I think we have a very high probability of Bayern winning, in fact higher than the implied probability of 60%.
The home side have not had the most productive season so far and sit eighth in Serie A, 23 points behind the league leaders.
On the face of it, they are in good form, winning 3 of their last five league games, but a closer look shows that they beat a poor Cagliari, were beaten by Atalanta and drew with Napoli, who were missing their star. and the greatest goal risk in Victor Osimhen.
Bayern’s most recent game can also be cited as an explanation for why they disappeared. They have won 3 Bundesliga games in a row but lost 3-0 to Bayer Leverkusen at the weekend, a result that now leaves them five points behind. Sensitive peak. Despite dominating possession, they only had one shot on target and were outclassed by Leverkusen.
That said, there is a real difference in quality between Leverkusen and Lazio, with Xabi Alonso’s side being one of the most productive on the planet in their current form. Bayern have it easier against the Italians.
One thing Bayern are capable of doing is scoring goals. They lead the Bundesliga with 59 goals in 21 games and have averaged two goals per game when they won Group A, an organization that includes Manchester United, Copenhagen and Galatasaray, arguably one of the toughest teams in the competition.
My bet: Bayern Munich win (-150 at TonyBet)
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With Harry Kane, you’ve been talking lately about one of the most productive strikers in the world. Since leaving Spurs for Germany last summer, he has averaged more than a goal per game, exceeding the exorbitant expectations other people had for him.
He has scored 24 goals in 21 domestic matches and lately has four in the Champions League this season, a goal the players tied at the top of the scoring charts.
Learn how to bet on the same game with these helpful tips and strategies.
My most productive bet for the match is backing Bayern Munich on the moneyline, so we probably won’t concentrate on that, but if you want to back Lazio, they are available at 400 with the draw at 309. In fact, it wouldn’t. I play either bet and I would have complete confidence in a Bayern win.
Overall, the over 2. 5 points to -139 and the under to 118. Lazio’s home games have been incredibly weak this year, with nine of the 11 Serie A games remaining below. Only two of their 4 UCL have gone above and any of their games have been away from home, with just five goals scored in 3 matches at the Stadio Olimpico.
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Lazio: Patric CB (debatable). Bayern Munich: Serge Gnabry FWR (Away), Konrad Laimer RB (Away), Kingsley Coman RW (Out), Alphonso Davies LB (Out).
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