Sunday’s game features a club that is likely to miss opportunities and another that will struggle to create them. Find out how this affects Jason Ence’s disadvantage in our Manchester United vs Tottenham picks.
Manchester United are hoping for the return of several players to get the win on Sunday when they host Tottenham at Old Trafford. Our Premier League odds lately put the Red Devils as favourites to win all three at home.
Erik ten Hag will be grateful to have seen his side’s progress in the FA Cup last week, although he missed plenty of chances in the 2-0 win. It’s the seventh game in their last 10 games without a goal through a striker. His team now turns their attention to the Premier League, where they have already lost four times at home this season.
Spurs hope to spend the next few weeks without Heung-min Son and remain in the naming conversation. Timo Werner will be hoping to make his debut for Ange Postecoglou after joining the club on loan this week, as they hope. to triumph over absences in midfield.
Our Manchester United vs. Manchester United football picks and predictionsTottenham for Sunday, January 14 take a look at the odds and talk about a top bet that offers a higher price than it should.
The struggles Man United have had in attack are well documented, but their win over Wigan was a prime example of how wasteful they’ve been this season. They put 14 of their 33 shots on goal, and notched 4.03 expected goals — and needed a long-range curler from a defender and a Bruno Fernandes penalty to get their only goals.
Rasmus Hojlund has scored just one goal in the Premier League, scoring the winning goal in his comeback against Aston Villa in his last home game. Marcus Rashford has had a poor season, he scored in his last Premier League game against Nottingham Forest. .
This makes it difficult to win games and take advantage of the merits of groups that are in full power. And that’s the scenario they face when they visit Tottenham.
Spurs have conceded 29 Premier League goals this season, including four to Brighton on their last road trip. It was the sixth time in their 11 away matches across all competitions in which they conceded two or more goals.
Despite their good luck this season, Spurs have performed well on the road against teams in the most sensitive part of the Premier League table. Their only wins were against Bournemouth, Burnley, Luton, Crystal Palace and Nottingham Forest. Those clubs are worried in the relegation battle.
The absence of Son and James Maddison deprives Spurs of much of their creativity, putting more pressure on Dejan Kulusevski and Richarlison to create chances. Against Burnley last weekend in the FA Cup, it was enough to secure a 1-0 win, but it took a goal from full-back Pedro Porro to advance as they only controlled seven shots on target.
More importantly, the Spurs failed to sign a single big player in the game. Son had generated two of his own the previous week in their win over Bournemouth.
All that said, I’d easily back Manchester United to get the win if they were able to convert chances. However, this is a matchup between a team that is likely going to waste opportunities and a team that’s going to struggle to create them.
This leads us to the draw offering substantial value for a match between two teams with so many question marks.
At odds of 300, the implied probability of a tie is 25%. I’ve projected a better than 30% chance of being at the same point full time, and that’s too wonderful a merit to forget under those circumstances.
My Bet: Tie (300 at TonyBet)
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Porro has been extraordinary for Spurs at both ends of the pitch. Defensively, he’s done a wonderful job lately, with two or more tackles in each of his last five Premier League appearances. In fact, Porro has racked up tackles in 16 of his 19 league games.
Both defenses fail in transition and are prone to losing losses in damaging positions. They could possibly also be obtained from set pieces. While we’ve discussed Spurs’ creativity issues and Man United’s finishing woes, there’s still a far superior player. Neither aspect is likely to be left with a blank page.
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Man United gets 115 in maximum bets on the 3-man line, and that value has dropped a bit since it opened just before the New Year. The Spurs saw their prize money drop from around 250 to 200, while the draw went from 260 to 300. .
The Red Devils have won three of their last four at home in league play, including wins over Aston Villa and Chelsea. Spurs have lost two of their last four league matches away, with a win over Forest and a draw at Manchester City.
The total has been moving quite a bit since it opened, with the Over 2.5 going from -175 to as high as -250. Even DraftKings, who has moved their line to 3.25 goals, is pricing the Over at -130.
Tottenham’s 10 away games in the Premier League have been high-profile affairs, which is a key factor. However, the absences of Son, Yves Bissouma and Pape Sarr for foreign tournaments will have to be taken into account. Manchester United will also continue to have goalkeeper André Onana, who will leave as soon as the match is over to sign for Cameroon for AFCON.
With the existing costs on offer, a 1-1 result is highly likely, and 188 is also being considered for the Under at bet365.
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Manchester United: Lisandro Martinez D (debatable), Mason Mount M (out), Luke Shaw D (debatable). Tottenham: Heung-min Son F (Out), James Maddison M (Out), Yves Bissouma M (Out).
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