A run of three wins and two draws in Serie A after the winter break allows Juve to lead La Dea twice in the standings, and while a win for the Bianconeri would cement their lead, a win for the hosts would help them advance. their rivals in Turin. Array
After suffering another Serie A setback last weekend, Atalanta met Fiorentina in Thursday’s Coppa Italia quarter-final in need of a morale-boosting win.
However, a defeat against the 10-man Viola saw them fall out of the cup, a party in which they lost last season’s final to Juventus, and condemned the Bergamo side to a fourth consecutive game without a win.
Their defeat at the Gewiss Stadium, where the Nerazzurri play the third of their four consecutive home games on Sunday, adds to the disastrous record of their Lombardy home, who have managed 3 wins in 12 attempts in the league.
That leaves Atalanta at the back of the table due to issues being resolved at home, with Gian Piero Gasperini’s fifth-placed side recently losing in their clash against relegation-threatened Cagliari last Sunday when goalkeeper Juan Musso was sent off. Frustratingly. Defeat 2-1.
Despite being beaten in last season’s cup final, Atalanta have won their last two league games against Juventus without conceding a goal (it is already their most productive winning streak against the Bianconeri in Serie A) and can now be the first team to win three consecutive victories. top-flight matches against Juve in more than a decade.
However, star striker Duvan Zapata’s season-ending injury has contributed to the drop in goal rate in recent weeks and could well undermine Bergamaschi’s hopes of winning successive home games against the Old Lady for the second time in their history. the first in just 70 years.
Continuing their recent recovery, Juventus continued their quest for titles on Thursday night, knocking out Sassuolo in the quarterfinals of the Coppa Italia thanks to an own goal.
Although the unfortunate Ruan Tressoldi was credited with the decisive goal, the cup winners, who after last week’s league win over Hellas Verona entered the top four of Serie A, owe their progress to some other intervention by the signing of Dusan Vlahovic.
The Serbian striker’s hard run and shot deflected Gianluca Pegolo sharply, adding to an early goal by the Bianconeri against Verona that reinforced their claim to the Capocannoniere crown; Lately, the former Fiorentina hitman is tied with Ciro Immobile on 18 goals in the league.
After his arrival, Juve could be back in contention for some collective prizes, as despite missing out on the dramatic Super Cup defeat to Inter last month, they are in excellent form and could even be away contenders for the World Cup. Scudetto: Inter’s leaders. There are only seven days to go until the weekend.
Also worried about the Champions League, where they will soon play the round of 16 against Villarreal, Max Allegri’s men are also expected to qualify for the Coppa semi-finals with Fiorentina in the coming weeks, as well as the Derby della della. Mole next Friday. against a Torino side that has taken a step forward.
Having now kept a clean sheet in each of their last three league outings, Juventus are also unbeaten in their last 10 Serie A matches – their best such run since the tail end of 2020. Therefore, they arrive in Bergamo as favourites to pull clear of their faltering opponents, but memories of November’s 1-0 loss in Turin will keep them on their toes.
Juventus coach Max Allegri will most likely make several adjustments to the side that beat Sassuolo on Thursday, with his starting XI expected to include returns for Danilo and first-choice goalkeeper Wojciech Szczesny.
Dusan Vlahovic is sure to start his 100th Serie A game against a club he has already scored four goals against, while Alvaro Morata and Paulo Dybala will likely be in the direct festival for a place in the new Bianconeri team. Number seven.
Allegri is also deliberating between Adrien Rabiot and Weston McKennie for the midfield selection, and although Giorgio Chiellini and the long-absent Federico Chiesa remain unavailable, Federico Bernardeschi may now have enough compatibility to feature on the bench.
Meanwhile, Atalanta are concerned about the fitness of Jose Luis Palomino and Giuseppe Pezzella, who could sign Duvan Zapata on the sidelines, with the Colombian striker potentially ruled out for the rest of the season.
Zapata’s compatriot Luis Muriel has never scored a league goal against Juventus in 15 attempts, but he is very likely to lead the line for La Dea, perhaps with that of Ruslan Malinovskyi and January signing Jeremie Boga, who scored in his first start. for the club in midweek.
Goalkeeper Juan Musso is suspended due to his red card last weekend, so Francesco Rossi and Marco Sportiello will go head to head to be named the hosts’ last line of defence.
Atalanta BC imaginable start XI:Sportiello; Djimsiti, Demiral, Toloi; Hateboer, De Roon, Freuler, Zappacosta; Malinovskyi, Boga; Murielle
Possible Juventus XI: Szczesny; Danilo, De Ligt, Bonucci, Sandro; Locatelli, Zakaria, Rabiot; Cuadrado, Vlahovic, Morata
All signs seem to be pointing towards a Juve win this weekend, as the combination of Atalanta’s recent struggles, below-par home form and loss of their top striker makes them a weakened proposition since the sides last met.
In addition, the visitors now have at their disposal a formidable front line that will be hoping to break through the home defence at least once in the hard-fought 90 minutes.
Our research of all available data, aggregating recent performances and player stats up to one hour before kick-off, has suggested that the maximum probable final result of this match is an Atalanta BC win with odds of 45. 88%. It had a 30. 12% chance and a draw had a 24% chance.
The maximum probable score for Atalanta BC to win 2-1 with odds of 9. 28%. The next probable maximum scores for this final outcome were 1-0 (8. 51%) and 2-0 (7. 09%). They will probably win 1-2 (7. 28%), while in the event of a draw, 1-1 (11. 13%). The actual outcome of 1-1 was predicted with a probability of 11. 1%.