Vinicius Jr anytime on 8/11 (bet365)
1 pt Dani Carvajal will be cautioned at 7/2 (Unibet)
Sky Betting Odds | Power of Rice | Betfair
Real Madrid were already decided in their first-leg win over RB Leipzig, limiting their hosts to 1. 37 xGF and taking the lead thanks to a stellar goal from Brahim Diaz.
Carlo Ancelotti’s side are unbeaten in 31 games in all competitions (in 90 minutes), a run that highlights their consistency and why they are 9/2 second favourites to win the Champions League.
RB Leipzig have everything to do here, but they are a smart traveller. They have won 3 of their last 10 away games in all competitions, squandering five.
The dynamic of this clash fits perfectly with Real Madrid, with Leipzig aiming for victory, giving Madrid plenty of room to function in possession and on the counter.
A genuine win and the goals of both groups were attractive, but at 8/11 I can’t allow VINICIUS JR TO SCORE AT ANY TIME without support.
Ancelotti’s side are unbeaten in 16 home games in all competitions this season, winning 14 and failing to score a single goal, scoring 39 times.
Madrid are expected to add several goals to that tally here, and Vinicius looks poised to be one of the goalscorers of the night.
The Brazilian, after a brace against Valencia, has scored 8 goals in 11 games since returning from injury. In La Liga, he has scored five goals in 8 games since regaining form, averaging 0. 65 xG for 90.
Vinicius controlled 4 shots in the first leg, which equates to 0. 61xG, so Leipzig will probably bet more brazenly as they try to get back to the equalizer, Madrid’s star winger has chances again.
Another one I like is that DANI CARVAJAL WILL BE BOOKED on 7/2.
This prize is high and is based on your home failures and the average of your cards. In La Liga, Carvajal averages just 0. 9 fouls to 90, but in the Champions League his average is more than double, with 2. 0 fouls. consistent with the game.
He was sent off in the first leg, committing 4 fouls in Leipzig, and this due to his direct opponent Xavi Simons, who is a sensitive and direct winger. Since the two men will most likely be facing each other and the visitors will be betting on the spotlight, Carvajal may have another tough night.
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Vinicius will be a big threat this match, while Xavi Simons will cause all sorts of disruption to Dani Caravajal, who seems to have good value to book.
Jude Bellingham loves to get stuck and will be tasked with some defensive duties as Leipzig press hard. He’s averaged 1. 4 fouls to 90 this season, so he seems to pick a few here.
Jude Bellingham will play here, even if he is one card away from being suspended in the Champions League. Eduardo Camavinga is in the same boat but still starts, and all three of Ancelotti’s injuries for the second leg are anterior cruciate ligament absences David Alaba, Thibaut Courtois and Eder Militao, the latter two set to return next month.
As for RB Leipzig, coach Marco Rose will be forced to make a substitution due to a suspension, as French defender Mohamed Simakan was booked for the third time in the tournament in the first leg and will miss the trip to the Spanish capital.
Regardless, Simakan started on the bench against Bochum, and with Lukas Klostermann, Leipzig’s only injured casualty, still recovering from a hip problem, Castello Lukeba and Willi Orban form an intact defensive barrier against Gulacsi, who has just returned from an abdominal strain. own.
Midfielder Xaver Schlager, however, returns from a Bundesliga suspension and the Austrian foreigner is expected to return to midfield against compatriot Nicolas Seiwald.
Real Madrid: Lunín; Carvajal, Tchouameni, Rudiger, Mendy; Valverde, Camavinga, Kroos; Bellingham; Rodrygo, Vinícius Jr.
RB Leipzig: Gulacsi; Henrichs, Orban, Lukeba, Raum; Olmo, Haidara, Schlager, Simons; Openda, Sesko
The odds are correct at 15:00 GMT (04/03/24)
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