Don’t put the cart in front of the oxen, however, Alabama, Notre Dame, Clemson or Ohio State are unlikely to lose in week 15. Notre Dame and Clemson are inactive. The Ohio State game opposed to Michigan was canceled, and Alabama is a big Arkansas favorite.
So, unless one of the biggest riots of the last decade of school football looms on the horizon, those four will enter the convention championship weekend in pole position in the search for school football playoffs.
That means the ACC and SEC championships and the next Ohio State game, either in the Big Ten vs Northwestern championship or in a championshipless game opposed to the Wisconsin-Iowa winner, will determine which groups will play for the national championship.
But there are 8 imaginable combinations in which you can play those 3 games, and today we are waiting for what the variety committee would do with each of those scenarios.
Before diving: I don’t think it’s vital if Ohio State plays for the Big Ten title, the Buckeyes will face a team that is likely to rank in diversity 13-20 with the chance that they belong to the Top Four. who can claim a convention championship deserve not to make a difference for the variety committee.
The genuine curve has less to do with the state of Ohio and more about the No. 12 of Indiana. Si hoosiers win the Big Ten championship while Ohio State and Clemson lose on December 19, there will possibly be a trail for them.
Another asterisk is the option for Florida to lose to LSU this weekend or Texas A
On that note, come on.
Scenario A: Alabama beats Florida, Ohio State wins, Clemson beats Notre Dame
That’s the situation, I think we’ve all been making plans since the preseason. Some of us have had Georgia in the Florida SEC name game, but anyway, those of us in the bowl forecasting industry have been ready for this result for some time.
This situation would probably result in No. 1 Alabama instead of No. 4 Notre Dame at Sugar Bowl and Ohio State No. 2 opposite No. 3 Clemson at the Rose Bowl. Maybe the Tigers would update. The Buckeyes by seed No. 2 if they beat the Fighting Irish convincingly, however, all they would update are the colors of the Rose Bowl jersey.
Scenario B: Alabama beats Florida, Ohio State wins, Notre Dame beats Clemson
While we assume that a full-powered Clemson betting on a “neutral” field in Charlotte, North Carolina, would avenge his double defeat at Notre Dame, fighting Irish could win this rematch. And if that happens, seeded No. four will make it at stake.
If No. Five Texas A
The undefeated Bearcats are already the group of Five’s top-ranked team in PSC history, but they could outperform the Aggies. They have a game left against 6-1 Tulsa in the AAC Championship.
The Golden Hurricanes are at number 24 and have looked smart this season, however, if Cincinnati beats them, he could get Tulsa out of the 25 most sensitive and make this victory less impressive. he’ll ask questions about the legitimacy of the Bearcats, cursed if he does; Damn if you don’t. If Cincy wins, however, he belongs to the hunt.
The much less sentimental favorite is the state of Iowa with two defeats. We already canceled the Big 12 as we did two months ago, but the Cyclones are in seventh place with one remaining game against eleventh Oklahoma. Before long, they’re going to have an argument over a place in the playoffs, however, it’s hard to believe that a team that lost by 17 to Louisiana beat Texas A
The two are Florida and Clemson, depending on their bad appearance on the occasion of defeat.
Texas A
I can’t argue that Clemson has two losses, given that his only notable victory was here in the house against Miami, but it turns out that the committee still holds the Tigers in the highest esteem, and I don’t know about you, but I see Alabama-Clemson Part V than a SEC semi-final.
It would be Alabama at No. 1, Notre Dame in n. 2, Ohio State at No. 3 and Texas A
Scenario C: Alabama defeats Florida, Ohio state loses, Clemson beats Notre Dame
This situation would not only establish a set of Clemson No rubber. 2 opposite Notre Dame No. 3, but would probably also result in an Alabama-Florida or Alabama-Texas A rematch.
But the main point here is that the state of Ohio is almost lost.
Buckeyes are 5-0 with 4 wins against groups 2-4 or worse. His only game in front of a quality opponent was a breeze opposite Indiana, in which they ceded 491 yards per pass in a seven-point home win.
There is already an argument that the state of Ohio belongs to the Top Four. Selection Committee Chairman Gary Barta said in last week’s Top 25 that there had been a lot of discussion about the state of Ohio and Texas A
Scenario D: Alabama defeats Florida, Ohio state loses, Notre Dame defeats Clemson
This is where things start to go crazy.
In this scenario, he has two locks in Alabama at n. 1 and Notre Dame at No. 2, but where does the committee go from there?
We’ve already ruled out Clemson and Ohio State if they lose, but Clemson has a one-on-one merit if they fall. The Tigers are ranked in front of the Buckeyes, and a loss to Notre Dame would be less embarrassing than a loss to Ohio State’s opponent of Big Ten West.
Now, if Clemson loses to 35 and the state of Ohio loses in a tight and controversial way, that would replace things. But, for the sake of argument, Clemson borders the state of Ohio for now.
Tigers would actually fall Texas A
(Note that I don’t have USC, Indiana or Northwestern in this equation, even assuming USC does a better 6-0 and Indiana or Northwestern finish 7-1 with a Big Ten championship. Both can jump to the Top Eight, still to No. four is not feasible unless Texas A
If Florida loses a competitive game opposed to Alabama, the Gators will most likely have a slight advantage, even if that would mean a PSC with 3 SEC groups and an independent dressed in a CCA suit. expanded playoff, this situation may be the catalyst that most angry non-SEC Power Five commissioners.
Florida is by no way a blockade for this sown No. four, because I think the variety committee would have a hard time with Cincinnati.
Putting a team in a defeat he played for a convention championship and a defeat of two non-champions to an undefeated team with a giant inventory of quality victories (Tulsa, UCF, Army, SMU and Memphis) would lead to a revolt.
Although we cried for UCF in 2017 and 2018, the Knights did not deserve to participate in two years, in 2017 they fought twice at home in their only victories against valuable opponents, their schedule is probably even worse the following year. And there was a strong Main Four Conference during the two seasons, so it didn’t matter much anyway.
However, Cincinnati has been serious this season and we’re talking about a situation where only two groups ranked in the Top Six lately win a Power Five championship. If Cincinnati can’t go in like that, we could drop the charade and avoid adding the groups from the Group of Five in the CFP classification.
But I’m moving away from it. My projection for this situation is no. 1 Alabama vs. No. four Florida and No. 2 Notre Dame vs. No. 3 Texas A
Scenario E: Florida beats Alabama, Ohio State wins, Clemson beats Notre Dame
That would be the biggest nightmare of the variety committee.
While some scenarios are difficult to perceive because it’s hard to make a decision about which team deserves the highest number four, the challenge here is to see which of the five right candidates deserves the maximum to be the fifth wheel.
But I think Notre Dame would be the team left out.
Ohio State and Clemson would obviously be in the game. The Buckeyes will most likely get the No. 1 as the only undefeated team in the group, with the Tigers probably securing the No. 2. We would possibly discuss this order at a later date, if necessary.
Until Alabama loses to Arkansas this weekend, I can’t believe a situation where Crimson Tide would be excluded from the playoffs. It doesn’t matter if it was a year down for the SEC; you don’t go 10-0 at this convention and then you don’t finish in the Top Four due to a single loss to a big team. Maybe they’d move to No. 4, but not no. 5.
If Florida wins the SEC championship, there’s no way the Gators will throw the glass short. They’d probably move on to No. 3, maybe even passing Clemson to No. 2, depending on which of those groups turns out to be the dominant maximum. December 19, as discussed above, however, the No debate. 2 vs.
And that leaves Notre Dame, despite starting 10-0, to play in the Orange Bowl as the fifth seed.
It would be terrible for the Fighting Irish, but their résumé is rarely that strong. The Thanksgiving weekend win in North Carolina is impressive, but they didn’t play in Miami or NC State and gradually won a house game against Clemson in an Alabama number has been more dominant against a more difficult schedule, and the variety committee is not going to lead a single finalist to one of the 3 convention champions.
The Verdict: Ohio State No. 1 vs. Ohio Alabama No. at the Rose Bowl; No. 2 Clemson vs. No. 3 Florida at the Sugar Bowl.
Scenario F: Florida beats Alabama, Ohio State wins, Notre Dame beats Clemson
This one is quite cut and dry: Notre Dame gets seed No. 1, the state of Ohio gets seed No. 2, then there’s Florida and Alabama in some order in the other two places.
Considering that Florida would achieve a victory opposed to the sec and the SEC championship, the Gators are supposed to get the No. 3 And Crimson Tide the seed No. four. Dan Mullen asked him if he would face Notre Dame or the state of Ohio, because I think Florida would rather draw Notre Dame (that would not happen, just to be clear).
Again, if the Gators can beat Alabama on unbiased ground, they’re probably in a position for anyone.
Scenario G: Florida defeats Alabama, Ohio state loses, Clemson beats Notre Dame
The top four here are VAC groups and SEC groups, but order would be an attractive debate.
Could Florida go from No. 6 to No. 1?
Florida’s eight wins were double-digit, and his only last-minute basket loss on the opposite side of Team No. 5 Add an SEC championship to this resume and give Ohio State and Notre Dame a defeat, and I completely agree with the Gators as the No seed. 1 The rest of the order would probably be Clemson at No. 2, Alabama at No. 3 and Notre Dame at No. 4.
If the variety committee is unwilling to take Florida to first place, it probably means replays of the two convention championships with Clemson opposed to Notre Dame at the Rose Bowl and Florida as opposed to Alabama at the Sugar Bowl.
Scenario H: Florida defeats Alabama, Ohio state loses, Notre Dame beats Clemson
This should be situation H, because it represents all the hell that breaks out on the weekend of the championship.
Notre Dame would obviously get the No. 1 seed, while Florida and Alabama would face off as Seed No. 2 and No. 3.
And with seed 4, I think we’re back in Texas A
In short, the ranking of the top eight in school football playoffs includes the only viable contenders to the playoffs, and is probably only the Top Six unless Texas A
But if you’re in favor of a playoff without Alabama, you’re going to be deeply disappointed.
Kerry Miller covers school football and men’s school basketball for Bleacher Report. You can follow him on Twitter: @kerrancejames.
Michigan and HC Jim Harbaugh are about to end a five-year contract with a “weak” purchase (The Athletic)
Official Buckeyes account for Harbaugh’s news staying in Ann Arbor
Projects @KerranceJames where the most important names in Bama and the state of Ohio could land in April ????