The Patriots Offensive is a numbers game, N’Keal Harry is involved

The Challenges of the New England Patriots with the offensive are many, but a surprising challenge can be reduced to several numbers.

At one point, patriots only have 3 “weapons” to use in their attack.

The Patriots gained just 179 yards in total on Sunday in their 20-17 win over the Arizona Cardinals, boosted more through specials and defensives.

Currently, when the Patriots have 11 members (half offensive, closed wing, 3 receivers open), they have half offensive Back James White, open receivers Jakobi Meyers, Damiere Byrd and N’Keal Harry and closed wing Ryan Izzo in the field.

When the Patriots are at 21 (two carriers, closed-wing, two receivers open), they have Harris, fullback Jakob Johnson, Meyers and Byrd in the field.

So, what’s the problem? Patriots only have 3 players in the area who can tighten the defender, the ball carrier, Meyers and Byrd, and Harris has scored only 3 passes this season.

Most quarterbacks are required to operate in a fullback attack, blocking the tight end and a third useless open receiver. That’s what Cam Newton is doing right now.

Johnson is a smart runner, however, the Patriots execute the ball on 70. 7% of their offensive shots, and has seven receptions this season for 34 yards with a touchdown. No one deserves to expect more back production, and has been forged as a race blocker, however, it is also third among all NFL runners in plays this season Kyle Juszczyk of the San Francisco 49ers and CJHam of Minnesota. Il Vikings ranked 12th out of thirteen sides in the PFF’s overall score. 9th as receiver and 11th as pass blocker and running blocker. Your task is not to catch or run with the ball. But he’s on the court as an NFL fullback who doesn’t have Juszczyk’s versatility.

Izzo is also unproductive. He is ranked 34th among the NFL’s closed wings with 193 yards in 12 receptions without a touchdown, and 50 of the yards came here in a failed attempt but ended up through Hail Mary in Week 11, averaged only 1. 1 receptions for 17. 5 yards consistent with the game. NFL defenses want to dominate it, but it’s not a risk in the air game. Lately it ranks 59th among closed wings in the PFF reception score, the 48th as a land blocker and the 56th as a pass blocker.

These are individual disorders for Johnson and Izzo, who perform their respective roles well. But Izzo is in the area for 81. 5% of the offensive shots and Johnson played 36. 6% of the offensive shots. Those are many shots, especially in the aerial game, received through players whose highest price is blocking.

Harry’s the real problem. Because if the Patriots are going to deploy a fullback, a tight locking point and a ball carrier that doesn’t catch so many passes, then they want a third high-end receiver, and Harry is one of the worst in the NFL world. Lately he ranks 71st out of 74 open catchers (with at least 40 goals) in field-consistent yards. He has 23 receptions in 43 goals for 213 yards with a landing this season, but remained unstoppsed in three goals with a fall. a penalty and wear for a two-yard loss sunday to the Arizona Cardinals. On average, it had less than a meter of separation consistent with the route.

The 2019 first-round team landed more than 41 yards received only once this season when it scored eight passes for 72 yards in Week 2 against the Seattle Seahawks. He has averaged only 4. 7 yards consistent with the target and 8. 8 yards consistent with the reception in his NFL career.

Harry’s five yards consistent with this season’s goal are only at the height of qualified NFL catcher (A. J. Cincinnati Bengals Green). His 8. 8-yard run is the fifth-worst among qualified recipients in the NFL. It is the 13th of DVOA Football Outsiders’ 1. 53 open receivers. Patriots average 0. 2 below a pass while in the field.

Many points come into play to find out what makes an open receiver smart in the NFL and this one is in fact subjective, but a quarterback has to show his willingness to aim for a hole, and Cam Newton doesn’t do it with Harry. It’s hard for the Patriots to have an improvement compared to Harry, who lately ranks 110th out of 124 qualified recipients in PFF’s overall scores, on their list.

Newton trusted Meyers and Byrd. White is one of the NFL’s most productive defenses, and Harris is a great discovery as a ball carrier. Harry’s usually there. And it would possibly seem unfair to criticize so much what amounts to a No. 3. Ni is even the prestige of the draft and Harry’s expectations and a first-round pick. The Patriots’ offensive is in trouble. They rank 19th in expected aggregate issues according to the game and ranked 25th in expected aggregate issues through return. Patriots ground play is not a problem. They rank first in the expected aggregate problems and the career-consistent rate of good fortune.

So how do the Patriots handle their transitory offense?They restrict Johnson’s clichés, but that would only undermine his greatest strength and unpredictability. They try to locate a tighter and more productive ending. Lately they have Jordan Thomas on the 53-player list and rookies Devin Asiasi and Dalton Keene in the injured reserve. It’s an option, but all those tight endings are still catching up.

However, they may seamlessly put another third receiver on the ground and deserve to at least convert things and temporarily end Harry’s experience.

The Patriots have lately got Isaiah Ford and Gunner Olszewski on their 53-man list and Donte Moncrief, Isaiah Zuber and Kristian Wilkerson on the practice squad. Moncrief may very well be an improvement as receiver No. Harry’s 3. He has an average of 12. 6. yards consistent with the reception and 7. 1 yards consistent with the goal of his career.

Julian Edelman may also return from the disabled booking list at some point, however, his location on the COVID-19 reserve list complicates things. We advocate restricting Edelman’s clichés on his return, but perhaps the Patriots deserve to give a 12-year veteran. Harry played only 49. 1% of this week’s offensive shots against the Cardinals. That’s the lowest percentage he’s achieved next season. you play in a game you haven’t left with an injury this season. That might be similar to the game plan, however, Harry started the season as receiver No. 2 of the Patriots, Byrd, and now he discovered himself as Meyers. Maybe a player like Moncrief, or Ford could overtake him too.

Newton gave the impression of being frustrated with Harry in a third and 14th game last Sunday in the third quarter when the Patriots followed the Cardinals 17-10. Newton twice beckoned Harry to move up. the first marker to move the strings.

Harry addressed the most sensible in the box but was never given to the first scorer.

It’s worth asking if Newton or Harry were right in this situation. Harry was heading for the awning if he continued to climb the field. At the same time, Harry probably wouldn’t get a first look if Newton threw it at him. yards from the 46-meter line. Besides, half the game isn’t exactly the most productive time for a philosophical debate with your quarterback. If the quarterback tells you to do something, it’s more productive to just pay attention and cut things off. until after the whistle blows.

Newton eventually pointed to Harry, but the receiver dropped his hands. Newton’s pass was finally irrelevant and may have simply been removed. Just one sad piece, in total.

On the surface, Newton was the biggest challenge than his receivers on Sunday. He began to show reluctance to return the ball unless a catcher was wide open instead of throwing his target open. He also had precision challenges, which is due to the placement of the ball had been Newton’s focus in recent weeks.

Here’s your adjusted finishing touch rate consistent with the week:

Week 12: 52. 9% Week 11: 84. 4% Week 10: 87. 5% Week 9: 84. 4% Week 8: 85% Week 7: 64. 3% Week 6: 70. 8% Week 3: 73. 1% Week 2: 81% Week 1: 93. 8%

Third and at 7:29 for playing in the first quarter, the Patriots executed a friction road concept with Byrd and Meyers.

That’s when Newton threw the ball:

So this is what Newton released:

Newton also had to drop the ball early when Meyers and Byrd separated at the beginning of their travels and before they encountered traffic.

Or after friction occurred, which would have left one of those receivers open. The Cardinals were rushing to six, so it’s understandable why Newton might not have sought to wait, even though it turns out he would still have had time for but when he saw six runners arrive, he probably deserved to have fired the ball temporarily when Meyers and Byrd were first open, but before they were in heavy traffic. that Kirkpatrick would possibly have arrived a little earlier to touch Byrd about the incomplete.

Newton nevertheless helped the Patriots win with an optional 14-yard run to secure a first attempt that led to Nick Folk’s 50-yard winning kick, but it would be easy to pin down several of his pitches.

This top and too wide. Byrd landed off limits.

He landed on the sidelines.

It is wide and abandoned/broken.

It’s a long way away.

It’s tall and wide.

It is wide.

Newton waited for Byrd to finish his roller race (rather than throw in advance) and struck his receiver’s inner shoulder instead of his outer shoulder, allowing Dr. Kirkpatrick to get rid of him.

Is high.

And finally, yes, White hit the last pass, however, a top throw on a screen interrupts the game’s time. And that’s really fussy.

Newton was coming off 4 straight forged with the right performances, so a smelly one will have to be forgiven. We are not asking Newton to be benched. It may still be in the Patriots’ plans for the future. advantages of having some more reliable step sensors.

But in telling the full story, it would be unfair to blame the Patriots’ fights only on passing goals to Newton. There’s an explanation for why Newton apologized to offensive coordinator Josh McDaniels after the game. The quarterback wasn’t happy with his performance.

White blamed White for missing a block early in the game, which also resulted in an interception.

It’s hard to completely compare Newton as a pin based on other people who see clichés in the Patriots offensive. Patriots’ hand play problems are more evident than other attacking players, such as Meyers, Byrd, White, Harris, and Rex Burkhead (before placing in the injured reserve) have been productive and even exceeded expectations.

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